Policymaker's Dual Objective Under Inflation Targeting

UK's Adoption of Inflation Targeting in 1992

Common Range and Arbitrary Nature of Inflation Targets

Central Bank's Role in Ensuring Inflation Returns to Target

Argument for Raising Inflation Targets to Mitigate ZLB Risks

Risk of Rapid Inflation without an Inflation-Targeting Central Bank

Risk of High Inflation without an Inflation-Targeting Central Bank

The 2022 Supply Shocks as a Test for Inflation Targeting Policy

Policy Trade-off: Inflation Targeting vs. Exchange Rate Control

Credibility and Stability of an Inflation Target

A central bank has a publicly announced objective to keep the annual increase in consumer prices at 2%. Currently, price levels are rising at exactly this rate. However, a sudden loss of international investor confidence has caused the nation's currency to rapidly lose value on foreign exchange markets. Faced with these two developments, which policy response would be most consistent with the bank's stated framework?

Evaluating Central Bank Policy During an Inflation Shock

Advising a Central Bank on Monetary Policy

Rationale for a Central Bank's Policy Framework

A central bank operating under an inflation targeting framework must prioritize keeping the country's exchange rate stable, even if it means inflation temporarily deviates from its official target.

A central bank has a stated objective of keeping annual inflation at 2%. Current economic reports indicate that the annual inflation rate is 0.5% and the unemployment rate is significantly above its long-run sustainable level. To achieve its objective, which of the following actions is the central bank most likely to implement?

A central bank has successfully maintained an average annual price increase of 2% for the past fifteen years, in line with its publicly stated objective. A sudden, temporary disruption to global supply chains causes the rate of price increases to jump to 6% in the current year. If households and firms believe the central bank will adhere to its long-term objective, how will this belief most likely influence their economic behavior?

Central Bank Policy Flexibility in a Downturn

Evaluating a Proposed Change to a Central Bank's Price Stability Goal

An economy has just emerged from a long period of high and unpredictable price increases. To prevent this from recurring, the government grants the central bank operational independence and publicly announces that the bank's primary objective is to maintain the annual rate of price increase at 2%. What is the most fundamental economic rationale for adopting this specific policy framework?

Figure 5.6: Unemployment, NAIRU, and Inflation in Canada (1985–2022)

Arbitrary Nature of Specific Inflation Targets