Essay

A Central Banker's Dilemma

Imagine you are a senior official at a country's central bank. The economy has been booming for several years, with low unemployment and rising GDP. However, you observe that this growth is accompanied by a rapid increase in private debt, particularly mortgages, and a sharp rise in housing prices. Some argue this is a sign of a healthy, confident economy, while others fear it's an unsustainable bubble. Write a memo evaluating this situation. In your memo, you must argue why this pattern of debt-fueled growth, despite its positive appearance, creates significant vulnerability for the banking system.

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Updated 2025-08-11

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