Short Answer

Calculating Conditional Probability in a Generation Step

An auto-regressive language model is generating a sequence. After two steps, it has produced the sequence <s> The cat with a cumulative probability of 0.15. In the third step, it adds the token sat, and the new cumulative probability for the sequence <s> The cat sat becomes 0.09. What was the conditional probability the model assigned to the token sat at this step, i.e., what is Pr(sat | <s> The cat)? Show your calculation.

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Updated 2025-10-10

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