Concept

Discussion of Estimation of the reproductive number of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis

The authors acknowledge the difficulty of calculating an accurate reproductive number due to the difficulty of capturing accurate totals of infected persons. That being said, the importance of a fixed population in creating accurate estimates was well-accomplished here due to the nature of the cruise ship. Limitations of the study include: rapid decrease of a susceptible population, confirmed cases removed from the ship for treatment, use of previous data for predictive modeling that may change going forward.

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Updated 2020-04-10

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Biomedical Sciences