Smith College

East of England (c) and Midlands (d) saw greater increases in R for all school opening scenarios than London (a) and North East and Yorkshire (b). The ratio is "highly unlikely to increase R above 1" in regions (a) and (b) when all schools open. One reason may be that region (d) has the highest proportion of older teenagers in England.

Impact of different school opening strategies on R by regions in England

Keeling, M., Tildesley, M., Atkins, B., Penman, B., Southall, E., Guyver-Fletcher, G., Holmes, A., McKimm, H., Gorsich, E., Hill, E., Dyson, L. (2020). The impact of school reopening on the spread of COVID-19 in England. medRxiv doi: 10.1101/2020.06.04.20121434

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.04.20121434v1

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