Multiple Choice

In a simplified climate policy game involving two countries, each can choose between 'Business as Usual' (BAU) or a 'Restrictive Policy'. For each country, choosing BAU is the best individual response if the other country chooses the Restrictive Policy, and it is also the best individual response if the other country also chooses BAU. However, the outcome where both countries choose the Restrictive Policy is preferred by both over the outcome where they both choose BAU. Based on this incentive structure, why is the outcome where both countries choose BAU the most likely result?

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Updated 2025-07-24

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