Concept

Patterns in Instantaneous Reproduction Number (Rt) of COVID-19 in Outside of Hubei, China from First-wave COVID-19 transmissibility and severity in China outside Hubei after control measures, and second-wave scenario planning: a modeling impact assessment.

  • Decreased in all selected areas since control measures implemented on 1/23, remains under 1 as of late February

  • In models, relaxing measures, thus increasing Rt, increased “cumulative case count exponentially as a function of relaxation duration, even if aggressive interventions could subsequently push disease prevalence back to baseline”

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Updated 2020-08-10

Tags

SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)

Biomedical Sciences