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Example

A Checked Count Does Not Validate a Forecast or Recommendation

In a fictional example, an AI system reads records of 120 visits and makes three statements:

  • “30 visits missed an explanation.”
  • “40 visits will miss an explanation next month.”
  • “Change the procedure.”

The first is a description, the second a prediction, and the third a recommendation. Checking the records can test the past count, although the records may be incomplete or mistaken. It does not by itself test the forecast or show that changing the procedure will help. Each statement needs evidence suited to its question.

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Updated 2026-11-10

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Scientific Oversight of AI-Assisted Research

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