Multiple Choice

A survey designed to measure the extent of credit market limitations in a country asks two separate questions:

  1. 'In the past 12 months, did you apply for a loan and have your application rejected?'
  2. 'In the past 12 months, was there a time you needed a loan but chose not to apply because you believed your application would be rejected?' The survey finds that 6% of respondents answered 'Yes' to the first question, and 9% of respondents answered 'Yes' to the second question. Assuming no respondent answered 'Yes' to both questions, what is the most reasonable estimate of the percentage of the population that is credit constrained based on this data?

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Updated 2025-07-30

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