Causation

Aggregate Demand Shock as an Inflationary Trigger

The process of inflation in a business cycle upswing begins when the economy is at its supply-side equilibrium, characterized by stable prices and wages (zero inflation). An increase in aggregate demand disrupts this balance by causing unemployment to fall below the equilibrium level. This shift creates the initial conditions for upward pressure on wages and prices.

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Updated 2026-01-15

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