Short Answer

Analyzing Investment Returns with Unexpected Inflation

An investor purchases a one-year bond with a nominal interest rate of 4%. At the time of purchase, the consensus forecast for inflation over the next year is 2%. At the end of the year, the actual inflation rate is measured to be 5%.

  1. Calculate the real interest rate the investor expected to earn at the time of purchase.
  2. Calculate the actual real rate of return the investor earned over the year.
  3. Based on your calculations, analyze the outcome for the investor in terms of their purchasing power.

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Updated 2025-08-17

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