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Applying Prudential Policies to the Arctic Sea Ice Model

The goal of a prudential policy for Arctic sea ice is to prevent a catastrophic collapse by keeping the planet cool. In the Environmental Dynamics Curve (EDC) model, this means implementing policies to prevent the EDC from shifting downward. By maintaining a high EDC, a safe distance is preserved between the stable high-ice equilibrium (G) and the tipping point (T). This stability margin is crucial for ensuring that routine shocks, such as a few unusually hot years, do not push the system into a runaway decline towards a no-ice state.

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Updated 2025-09-16

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