Activity (Process)

Calculating the Nominal Wage Increase in a Wage-Price Spiral

In the wage-setting round that follows an initial inflation shock, the human resources department adjusts nominal wages to account for two factors: the new, higher rate of expected inflation and the persistent bargaining gap. The required nominal wage increase is the sum of these two components. For instance, if workers update their inflation expectations to 5% and the bargaining gap remains at 2%, the firm will need to raise nominal wages by 7% to motivate workers.

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Updated 2026-01-15

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