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Cause-Effect Pair Challenge
Telling cause from effect from purely observational data, focusing on pairs of variables (X, Y), was introduced as a challenge at the NIPS 2008 workshop on causality. The basic scenario is: given independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) observations drawn from a distribution , infer whether causes or causes , given the promise that exactly one is true. The NIPS 2013 challenge extended this to three classes: X rightarrow Y, Y rightarrow X, or a null class consisting of either the independent case or the pure confounding case X leftrightarrow Y (shorthand for X leftarrow H rightarrow Y, where is an unobserved confounder).

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Updated 2026-06-18
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Data Science