Essay

Comparative Analysis of Policy Responses to a Demand Shock

Consider a small open economy that experiences a sudden and persistent decrease in domestic consumer confidence, leading to a negative aggregate demand shock. Analyze and contrast the likely macroeconomic responses and outcomes under two different policy regimes:

  1. A regime with a flexible exchange rate and an independent central bank that targets a specific inflation rate.
  2. A regime with a credibly fixed exchange rate.

Your analysis should focus on the adjustment paths of output, inflation, and the real exchange rate in each case.

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Updated 2025-09-15

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