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Conditional-Probability Form of Bayes' Theorem

Bayes' Theorem can equivalently be written using the definition of joint probability: P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} This follows directly from the definition of conditional probability: the probability that event AA occurs given that BB has occurred equals the probability both events occur together, divided by the probability that BB occurs. If AA and BB are independent, then P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B), so the equation simplifies to: P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(B)=P(A)P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A) \cdot P(B)}{P(B)} = P(A) This confirms that for independent events, knowing that BB occurred gives no information about AA.

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Updated 2026-07-11

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Data Science