Multiple Choice

Consider two hypothetical events affecting the global oil market in the post-1990s era:

  • Event X: A sudden, intense civil war in a country responsible for 5% of global oil exports causes its production to cease for 18 months before gradually recovering.
  • Event Y: An organization representing countries that collectively produce 40% of the world's oil agrees to reduce their combined output by 10% and successfully maintains this lower production level for five years.

Which statement provides the most accurate evaluation of the impact these two events have on the structure of the global oil supply?

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Updated 2025-08-15

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