Definition

Definition of Pairwise Causal and Non-causal Relationships

In the context of cause-effect pairs, two random variables XX and YY can be in one of four mutually exclusive pairwise relationships, denoted by the "ground truth" GG:

  1. XX causes YY (X rightarrow Y)
  2. YY causes XX (X leftarrow Y)
  3. XX and YY are dependent, but not in a causal relationship (X leftrightarrow Y)
  4. XX and YY are independent (XYX \perp Y)

Formally, these relationships are defined using functional models with latent noise variables (Nx,NyN_x, N_y) and potential latent confounders (ZZ):

  • G=[X rightarrow Y] Rightarrow exists f wedge exists N_y such that Y:=f(X,Ny)Y := f(X, N_y)
  • G=[X leftarrow Y] Rightarrow exists f wedge exists N_x such that X:=f(Y,Nx)X := f(Y, N_x)
  • G=[X leftrightarrow Y] Rightarrow exists f, g wedge exists N_x, N_y, Z such that X:=f(Z,Nx)Y:=g(Z,Ny)X := f(Z, N_x) \wedge Y := g(Z, N_y)
  • G=[XY]G=[X \perp Y] means XX and YY are independent, with no functional relationship.

This framework does not necessarily assume that (XNy)(X \perp N_y) nor that (YNx)(Y \perp N_x), allowing for additional latent confounders in the directed cases X rightarrow Y and X leftarrow Y.

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Updated 2026-06-13

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Data Science