How COVID-19 may disrupt food supply chains (FSC) in developing countries:

• Direct impacts will overwhelmingly be felt post-farm
• The impacts are likely to be largest in dense urban and rural peri-urban areas
• Effects will be strongest in the downstream segments of retail and food services
• Retail and food service firms in modern FSCs face fewer problems
• Direct impacts on farm populations and farm production will be much smaller than on the FSC downstream and midstream.
• COVID-19 is likely to increase food prices, both as a cause and consequence of food shortages
• . COVID-19 responses will create economic hardship through income and employment risks and political risks.