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Case Study

Evaluate the research team's assumption about their overall error rate. Based on the concept of multiple comparisons, explain what happens to the risk of mistakenly rejecting a true null hypothesis in their analysis.

Case context: A research team is comparing the effectiveness of three different therapeutic interventions against a control group for reducing anxiety. To determine which specific therapies differ from one another, they decide to conduct six separate independent-samples tt-tests. They assume that because they set their significance level to 5%5\% for each individual test, their overall chance of concluding a therapy is effective when it actually is not remains at exactly 5%5\%.

Question: Evaluate the research team's assumption about their overall error rate. Based on the concept of multiple comparisons, explain what happens to the risk of mistakenly rejecting a true null hypothesis in their analysis.

Sample answer: The research team's assumption is incorrect. While the risk of a Type I error for any single tt-test is 5%5\%, conducting six separate tt-tests simultaneously causes this risk to compound. Consequently, the overall probability of mistakenly rejecting at least one true null hypothesis across the entire experiment becomes much higher than the individual 5%5\% level.

Key points:

  • Correctly diagnoses the research team's assumption as flawed.
  • Explains that the 5%5\% chance applies only to a single test, not the entire series of six tests.
  • Describes how the probability of mistakenly rejecting at least one true null hypothesis compounds and increases.

Rubric: Students must recognize that the assumption is flawed. The response should explain that the overall risk of a Type I error is not maintained at 5%5\% but rather compounds as more tests are conducted, leading to an unacceptably high probability of making a false positive error across the series of tests.

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Updated 2026-05-27

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Research Methods in Psychology - 4th American Edition @ KPU

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