Essay

Evaluating a Policy Response to a Deflationary Trap

Imagine you are an economic advisor. A country is experiencing a severe recession. The central bank has already lowered its main policy interest rate to 0%, but cannot lower it further. Furthermore, the public widely expects prices to fall by 2% over the next year. A government official proposes a new policy: give a substantial, one-time cash payment directly to every household. Critically evaluate this proposal. In your answer, first explain the specific challenge that the combination of zero interest rates and expected price decreases poses for economic recovery. Then, argue whether the proposed cash payment policy is likely to be an effective tool to overcome this specific challenge, justifying your reasoning.

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Updated 2025-08-09

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