Case Study

Evaluating Policies to Overcome Poverty

A government is considering two different programs to assist a rural community of subsistence farmers. These farmers consistently struggle with low income because their crop yields are highly unpredictable due to weather variations. In good years, they earn just enough to get by. In bad years, they fall into debt. This constant uncertainty prevents them from investing in better farming equipment or their children's education, as they must save any small surplus for the next potential bad harvest.

Program A: A one-time, unconditional cash payment to every farming household. Program B: A government-subsidized insurance program that guarantees farmers a minimum income level if their harvest fails due to bad weather.

Evaluate the two programs. Which program is more likely to be effective in the long term at breaking the cycle described? Justify your reasoning.

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Updated 2025-08-09

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