Essay

Evaluating Policy Responses to a Currency Credibility Crisis

A country with a fixed exchange rate is facing a severe loss of credibility in its currency peg. Financial markets widely expect a devaluation. The central bank has two primary options: 1) Defend the peg at all costs by using its foreign reserves to buy its own currency and by sharply increasing domestic interest rates, or 2) Abandon the peg and allow the currency to float freely. Evaluate the potential costs and benefits of each option for the country's domestic economy. In your judgment, which factor is most critical in determining the better course of action?

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Updated 2025-08-10

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