1Cademy - Exponential Growth Model for the COVID-19 Pandemic

Concept

Exponential Growth Model for the COVID-19 Pandemic

Exponential behavior is present at the start of the pandemic because recoveries and deaths are negligible and infections are growing, meaning it is also most effective at the beginning of a pandemic.
This data was drawn from Wuhan where patient data shows that hospitalized patients either pass or are discharged between 17 to 21 days.
In the graph, multiple countries observed exponential growth at the start of the pandemic.
They estimated exponential growth 15 to 20 days after outbreak with no social distancing isolation or quarantine.
Death began to exponentially increase as well after initial low counts where there is a delay between the beginning of the pandemic and deaths occurring.