Figure 3.20: Investment in New Technologies and the Dot-Com Bubble (1991–2022)
This line chart displays annual percentage growth rates for US investment in new technologies, nominal GDP, and the NASDAQ index from 1991 to 2022. The data provides visual evidence for the high-tech investment boom of the late 1990s, showing that investment in new technologies experienced sustained growth of around 10% or higher during this period. This spike, followed by a sharp crash, visually corroborates the dot-com bubble. The chart also includes shaded areas indicating NBER-identified recessions.
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Figure 3.20: Investment in New Technologies and the Dot-Com Bubble (1991–2022)
NASDAQ
Irrational Exuberance and the Dot-Com Investment Cycle
During the second half of the 1990s, the US economy experienced a widespread and rapid increase in business spending on new information and communication technologies, with investment growth rates consistently exceeding 10%. Many competing firms across various industries made these large investments in a relatively short period. Which of the following provides the most compelling economic explanation for this coordinated wave of investment?
A major new general-purpose technology is introduced, creating a significant competitive advantage for firms that adopt it first. Arrange the following events to illustrate the typical investment cycle that follows, as exemplified by the US economy from the mid-1990s to the early 2000s.
Strategic Investment Decision in the Late 1990s
Analysis of the Late 20th Century Tech Investment Cycle
Linking the Tech Boom to the Bust
The period of rapid, widespread investment in new information and communication technologies during the second half of the 1990s represented a stable, long-term acceleration in business spending that seamlessly transitioned into the new century.
The introduction of a major new technology often triggers a distinct cycle of business spending. Match each phase of this investment cycle with its correct description.
An economist observes that from the mid-1990s to 2000, business investment in a new category of information and communication technology grew by over 10% annually. However, in the few years immediately following, investment in this same technology sharply contracted. Based on this distinct pattern of rapid expansion and subsequent contraction, what is the most accurate characterization of this period?
The significant investment boom in new information and communication technologies that occurred in the US during the second half of the 1990s was marked by sustained annual growth rates of around ______ or higher, a level of expansion not repeated in the following decades.
Interpreting Concurrent Economic Trends
Causal Link Between Investor Confidence and the Dot-Com Boom-Bust Cycle