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Findings from Empirical estimates of unmitigated COVID-19 infection growth rates and the effect of anti-contagion policies
- Combined effect of policies within each country reduces the growth rate of infections by a substantial and statistically significant amount.
- In general, the estimated total effects of policy packages are large enough that they can in principle offset a large fraction of, or even eliminate, the baseline growth rate of infections—although in several countries, many localities have not deployed the full set of policies.
- The deployment of anti-contagion policies in all six countries significantly slowed the pandemic. The empirical estimates with the data on the timing of the 1,700 policy deployments was used to estimate the total effect of all policies across the dates in our sample.
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Updated 2020-08-24
Tags
SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)
Biomedical Sciences