Concept

Fluctuations within the English Malthusian Cycle (1280-1490)

While the data for England between 1280 and 1490 broadly supports the Malthusian model's inverse relationship between population and wages, it also reveals significant short-term fluctuations. For example, during periods of relatively stable population in the 15th century, the wage index still varied. The index dropped from 94 to 84 between 1425 and 1435 even though the population was constant at 2.5 million. Similarly, it fell from 93 to 88 between 1475 and 1485 while the population was steady at 2.4 million. These variations highlight that the Malthusian relationship represents a long-term trend, while other unrecorded factors likely influenced wages on a decadal basis.

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Updated 2025-08-23

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