Main Conclusion: to accurately predict a student’s success, you need to examine their learning strategies in addition to their test performances.

• Students who developed and tested strong hypotheses within the context of the game (meaning they only tested one rule at a time, and built on rules they had already established) showed better overall understanding of the game’s rules in the post-test
• Those students who performed worse on the post-test showed significantly fewer attempts in Explore mode, tested weaker hypotheses or tested the same rules multiple times without building on them, and tended to give up on testing hypotheses earlier in the game.