Inference vs. prediction in statistical learning
In both prediction and inference, we estimate a function that maps the values of predictors to outcome . In prediction, our goal is to estimate the function based on the available values of and corresponding so that we can use to predict the values of for the values of for which we don't know the corresponding values of . So, the function can be treated as a black box, and our main objectives are to improve the accuracy and precision of the prediction. In inference, we already know all the corresponding values of and , and we're interested in understanding the characteristics of the function that maps the values of to their corresponding values of . So, cannot be treated as a black box and our main objective is to find the exact functional form of .
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