Formula

Inflation Adjustment Equation

The inflation adjustment equation, given by πt=πt1+gapt\pi_t = \pi_{t-1} + \text{gap}_t, describes the core dynamics of the Phillips curve. It posits that the current inflation rate (πt\pi_t) is determined by the previous period's inflation rate (πt1\pi_{t-1}), which acts as a proxy for expected inflation, plus the current bargaining gap (gapt\text{gap}_t). This relationship leads to three key outcomes: 1) Inflation rises (πt>πt1\pi_t > \pi_{t-1}) when there is a positive bargaining gap. 2) Inflation is stable (πt=πt1\pi_t = \pi_{t-1}) when the bargaining gap is zero. 3) Inflation falls (πt<πt1\pi_t < \pi_{t-1}) when there is a negative bargaining gap.

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Updated 2026-01-15

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