Short Answer

Inflation Dynamics with Adaptive Expectations

Consider an economic model where this period's inflation (πt) is determined by last period's inflation (πt-1) and the current bargaining gap (gapt), according to the formula: πt = πt-1 + gapt. If an economy experiences a persistent positive bargaining gap (i.e., gapt > 0 for multiple consecutive periods), what is the resulting trajectory of the inflation rate over time? Explain your reasoning.

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Updated 2025-10-07

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