Causation

Influence of Future Policy Rate Expectations on Long-Term Interest Rates

The interest rates on long-term borrowing, such as corporate bonds, often show a muted response to changes in the central bank's current policy rate. This is because bond purchasers' decisions are influenced by their expectations of the policy rate over the entire multi-year duration of the bond, not just its current level.

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Updated 2026-01-15

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