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Causation

Mechanism of Phillips Curve Stability with Anchored Expectations

When inflation expectations are anchored, the Phillips curve remains stable and does not shift upward, even in the face of a shock that temporarily increases inflation. This stability occurs because wage and price setters trust that the central bank will take the necessary actions to return inflation to its target, so they do not adjust their long-term inflation expectations.

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Updated 2026-01-15

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