Concept

Best Complexity Method for Causal Direction

Best complexity methods for determining causal direction assume a comparative fit P=QP = Q in both directions and choose the causal direction by comparing the complexity terms. For any candidate model BG^,f^,QN\mathcal{B}_{\hat{\mathcal{G}}, \hat{f}, Q_N}, let θ^\hat{\theta} be the set of parameters that minimizes the score CB^(θ)C_{\hat{\mathcal{B}}}(\theta). Let CXY(θ^)C_{X\rightarrow Y}(\hat{\theta}) be the lowest complexity score corresponding to the model BG^,f^,QN\mathcal{B}_{\hat{\mathcal{G}}, \hat{f}, Q_N} with G^=XY\hat{\mathcal{G}} = X\rightarrow Y. If CXY(θ^)<CYX(θ^)C_{X\rightarrow Y}(\hat{\theta}) < C_{Y\rightarrow X}(\hat{\theta}), it is decided that X rightarrow Y, otherwise it is decided that Y rightarrow X.

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Updated 2026-06-15

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Data Science