Concept

Methods for Estimating the infection fatality risk of COVID-19 in New York City, March 1-May 16, 2020

  • Laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases reported to the NYC DOHMH were aggregated by week of diagnosis and age group (<1, 1-4, 5-14, 15-24, 25-44, 45-64, 65-74, and 75+ years) for each of the 42 United Hospital Fund neighborhoods in NYC, according to the patient’s residential address at time of report.

  • The mortality data, from deaths registered and analyzed by the NYC DOHMH, combined confirmed and probable COVID-19-associated deaths.

  • The network model simulated intra- and inter neighborhood transmission of COVID-19 and assumed susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (SEIR) dynamics, per the following equation:

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Updated 2020-07-10

Tags

SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)

Biomedical Sciences