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Downs' Paradox of Voting
Downs' paradox of voting is the puzzle that instrumental rational-choice reasoning often predicts abstention even though people vote. If is the probability that one vote changes the outcome, is the benefit of the preferred candidate winning, and is the cost of voting, the instrumental payoff is . Because is usually very small, this payoff may be negative, making participation difficult to explain using self-interest alone.
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Updated 2026-08-11
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