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Real Wage Absorption of UK's 2022 Terms-of-Trade Shock

An analysis of UK economic data for the fourth quarter of 2022 suggests that workers' real wages bore approximately three-quarters of the burden from the nation's terms-of-trade loss. This conclusion is derived from the fact that the terms-of-trade loss was equivalent to 2.4% of the wage bill, while real wages fell by 3.1%. Within the WS-PS framework, this empirical finding corresponds to a downward shift of the price-setting (PS) curve caused by rising import prices.

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Updated 2026-05-02

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