Concept
Reproductive number Hubei (January 12 2020 to January 22 2020)
Method: Mathematical model, dynamic compartmental model with population divided into five compartments: susceptible individuals, asymptomatic individuals during the incubation period, infectious individuals with symptoms, isolated individuals with treatment and recovered individuals
Approaches: R = β/αβ = mean person-to-person transmission rate/day in the absence of control interventions, using nonlinear least squares method to get its point estimateα = isolation rate = 6
Estimate for R: 6.49 (95% CI 6.31 - 6.66)
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Updated 2020-04-24
Tags
SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)
Biomedical Sciences