Concept

Reproductive number Hubei (January 12 2020 to January 22 2020)

Method: Mathematical model, dynamic compartmental model with population divided into five compartments: susceptible individuals, asymptomatic individuals during the incubation period, infectious individuals with symptoms, isolated individuals with treatment and recovered individuals

Approaches: R0_0 = β/αβ = mean person-to-person transmission rate/day in the absence of control interventions, using nonlinear least squares method to get its point estimateα = isolation rate = 6

Estimate for R0_0: 6.49 (95% CI 6.31 - 6.66)

0

1

Updated 2020-04-24

Tags

SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)

Biomedical Sciences