Concept

Reproductive Number in Hubei (January 12 to January 22, 2020)

Method: Mathematical dynamic compartmental model with the population divided into five compartments: susceptible, asymptomatic during the incubation period, infectious with symptoms, isolated with treatment, and recovered individuals. Approaches: R0=β/αR_0 = \beta / \alpha, where β\beta = mean person-to-person transmission rate per day in the absence of control interventions (estimated using the nonlinear least squares method) and α\alpha = isolation rate = 6. Estimated R0R_0: 6.49 (95% CI: 6.31 - 6.66).

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Updated 2026-06-19

Tags

SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)

Biomedical Sciences