Concept

Restoring Stable Inflation Post-Supply Shock via Higher Unemployment

To restore stable inflation after a permanent supply-side shock, the economy must adjust to a new equilibrium with a higher structural unemployment rate. This increased unemployment reduces workers' bargaining power, which lowers the real wage demanded on the wage-setting (WS) curve. The wage-price spiral halts when unemployment is high enough that the WS curve intersects the new, lower price-setting (PS) curve, thereby closing the bargaining gap.

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Updated 2026-05-02

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