Causation

Rising Inflation as a Consequence of 'Too Low' Unemployment

According to Milton Friedman's critique of the Phillips curve, a key consequence of policymakers keeping the unemployment rate 'too low' for a sustained period is not simply a higher level of inflation, but a continuously rising rate of inflation. This phenomenon of accelerating inflation is central to the argument that there is no permanent trade-off between inflation and unemployment.

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Updated 2026-05-02

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