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Standard Deviation of the Conditional Distributions (CDS)

Introduced by Fonollosa, the standard deviation of the conditional distributions (CDS) is a regression-based feature that captures distribution asymmetry for causality detection. The CDS score measures the spread of the conditional distributions after normalization of the bins:

CDS(X,Y)=1My=0M1varx(pn(Y=yX=x))CDS(X,Y) = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{M} \sum_{y=0}^{M-1} var_x (p_n(Y=y|X=x)) }

Here, pn(Y=yX=x)p_n(Y=y|X=x) represents the normalized conditional probability and varxvar_x is the sample variance over xx. This feature achieves good performance even when used alone, typically yielding a score of 0.69 on the Tübingen dataset.

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Updated 2026-06-15

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Data Science