Causation

Supply Shock and the Emergence of a Bargaining Gap

When a negative supply shock, such as the downward shift of the PS curve from protectionist policies, occurs while employment is held constant by fixed aggregate demand, a positive bargaining gap emerges. This happens because at the pre-existing employment level, the wage on the wage-setting curve is now above the new, lower price-setting curve. This event also signifies a shift in the supply-side equilibrium (SSE) to a lower level of employment, even though the economy has not yet adjusted to it.

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Updated 2025-10-05

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