Concept

The Bathtub Model and the Accelerating Imbalance of Atmospheric CO2

The bathtub model is a conceptual analogy for the Earth's atmospheric CO2 system. In this model, the total amount (stock) of CO2 is represented by the water level in the tub. Inflows, such as human emissions, act as the faucet, while outflows, like absorption by natural sinks, represent the drain. The current rapid increase in the atmospheric CO2 stock is due to a severe imbalance where inflows from human economic activity have overwhelmed the natural processes that once stabilized greenhouse gas levels. This imbalance is not static but is accelerating over time.

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Updated 2026-05-02

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