Short Answer

The Lasting Impact of a Temporary Inflation Shock

Imagine an economy where for many years, both workers and businesses have expected an annual inflation rate of 2%. A sudden, temporary disruption in global supply chains then causes the actual inflation rate to surge to 7% for two consecutive years before the disruption is resolved. Analyze how this period of unexpectedly high inflation is likely to alter the short-run relationship between inflation and unemployment in the years after the supply disruption has ended. Explain the underlying mechanism for this change.

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Updated 2025-10-08

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