Essay

The Link Between Unemployment and Disinflation

Consider an economy that experiences a sudden, permanent increase in the price of a critical imported resource, leading to a sharp rise in the general price level and a slowdown in economic activity. In the years that follow, the unemployment rate remains persistently high. Eventually, the initially high rate of inflation begins to decline. Analyze the causal chain that links the sustained period of high unemployment to the eventual reduction in inflation. Your analysis should focus on the behavior of workers and firms in the wage-setting and price-setting processes.

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Updated 2025-10-01

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