Essay

The 'Lock-In' Effect in EV Market Transition

A government successfully used large subsidies to transition its automotive market to an electric vehicle (EV)-dominated equilibrium. Now, policymakers are debating whether to completely remove these subsidies. One group argues that the market will immediately revert to its previous carbon-based state. A second group argues that the EV-dominated state is now 'locked-in' and will persist. Analyze the arguments of the second group. In your answer, explain the economic dynamics that contribute to the stability of the new equilibrium and describe the conditions under which the first group's prediction might actually come true.

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Updated 2025-08-16

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