Theory

The Malthusian Trap: Explaining the Flat Portion of the Economic Hockey Stick

The Malthusian model provides a framework for understanding the extended period of economic stagnation represented by the flat part of the 'hockey stick' graph. It suggests that periodic technological advancements in agriculture and industry would temporarily boost the income of the population above subsistence levels. However, according to this interpretation, these income gains would trigger population growth through mechanisms like earlier marriages, higher birth rates, and lower death rates. This subsequent increase in population would place pressure on resources, ultimately driving average incomes back down to the subsistence level and neutralizing the initial benefits of the technological progress.

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Updated 2025-09-29

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