One reason that people manipulate hyperparameters is to improve the bias and variance that a given model contains. Bias is the difference between the average prediction of our model and the correct value which we are trying to predict. Models with high bias pay little attention to the training data and oversimplify the model, which will lead to high errors on training and test sets. Variance is the variability of model prediction for a given data point or a value which tells us spread of our data. High Variance models do not generalize based on previous data much, if at all, and thus while it may perform well on training data it will not on test sets. Briefly, the Bias vs Variance scale is a scale between over- and under-fitting of a model. By manipulating various hyperparameters, you can change between over- and under-fitting to get the best predictions

Bias and Variance in Deep Learning

When an experienced deep learning engineer works on a new problem, they can usually use insight from previous problems to train a good model on the first try, without needing to iterate multiple times through different models. True/False?

Regularization is a modification made to a learning algorithm with the goal of reducing generalization error, but not training error.

Linear Regression is useful for modeling outputs whose relation to their inputs is linear. However, linear regression performs poorly when trying to model non-linear relationships. We can use regularization to help learning algorithms select certain models over others, particularly to avoid overfitting. 

Regularization

- **High Avoidable bias**: if it does not fit training set well on cost function (e.g., comparable to human level performance), you might train a bigger network, train longer, switch to a better optimization algorithm, like the Adam, or change the neural network architecture/hyperparameter search.
- **High Variance**: if it does not fit dev set on cost function, you may use regularization, increase the size of training set, or change the neural network architecture/hyperparameter search.
- If it does not fit test set well on cost function, you may change or increase the size of dev set.
- If it does not perform well in real world (e.g., happy users), you may change or increase the size of test set or change the cost function.

University of Michigan - Ann Arbor

Deep learning is a particular kind of machine learning that achieves great power and flexibility by representing the world as a nested hierarchy of concepts, with each concept defined in relation to simpler concepts, and more abstract representationss computed in terms of less abstract ones.


Deep Learning (in Machine learning)

- Human error VS training set error: avoidable bias
- Training set error VS training-dev set error: variance
- Training-dev set VS dev error: data mismatch
- Dev error VS test error: degree of overfitting to dev set

Possible Errors of a Supervised Learning model

Deep learning algorithms can be implemented to solve real-world problems today.

Deep feedforward networks, also called multilayer perceptrons (MLPs), is the quintessential deep learning model that is behind nearly all modern practical applications of deep learning.

Scaling these models to large inputs such as high-resolution images or long temporal sequences requires specialization. 
 - Convolutional neural networks (CNN) can be used for processing large images.
 - Recurrent neural networks (RNN) can be used for processing temporal sequences. 


Deep Learning Algorithms

Rules-based systems hard-code knowledge about the world in formal languages, which may lead to problems. System of rules can start of quite simple, but can become rather unwieldy over time as more and more exceptions and rule changes are added. What's more, when the data and scenarios change faster than you can update the rules, you can reach a point when you lose track of what is going on and how many exceptions there are. 

Different from rules-based systems, machine learning has the ability to acquire their own knowledge, by extracting patterns from raw data. Machine learning enabled computers to tackle problems involving knowledge of the real world and make decisions that appear subjective.

While classic machine learning only discovers the mapping from representation to output, representation learning discovers not only the mapping from representation to output but also the representation itself.  Learned representations often result in much better performance than can be obtained with hand-designed representations.

However, when high-level, abstract features such as a speaker's accent can be very difficult to be extracted from raw data, representation learning does not seem to help at first glance.  

Deep learning solves this central problem in representation learning by introducing representations that are expressed in terms of other, simpler representations. Deep learning enables the computer to build complex concepts out of simpler concepts.


Rules-Based Systems vs. Classic Machine Learning vs. Representation Learning vs. Deep Learning

Deep learning analyses a training set, identifies complex patterns and applies them to new data. 

Reinforcement learning works sequentially in an unknown environment━taking an action, evaluating the rewards, and adjusting the following actions accordingly.

Deep learning and reinforcement learning complement each other:

 - Reinforcement learning algorithms manage the sequential process of taking an action, evaluating the result, and selecting the next best action. However, they need a good mechanism to select the best action based on previous interactions.
 - Deep learning can be that mechanism━it is the most powerful method available today to learn the best outcome based on previous data.

 

Deep Learning vs. Reinforcement Learning

Deep learning is taking off because as the amount of data and computational power increases, deep learning algorithms perform better than traditional machine learning methods. 

You can improve performance by increasing the scale of the NN or giving it more data. Increasing the scale of the NN often places greater strain on technological systems. The more accessible route is taking advantage of the increase in available data.

“Why is deep learning taking off?” 

(1) initialize parameters

(2) Implement the forward propagation to get the prediction 

(3) compute the loss 

(4) Implement the backward propagation to compute the derivatives of the parameters 

(5) update the parameters 

(6) repeat steps (2) to (5) to reduce the cost.

The learning circle of the neural network

1. Music Style Transfer
2. Voronoi Boundary Classification: A High-Dimensional Geometric Approach
via Weighted Monte Carlo Integration

Research Ideas for Deep Learning

Troubleshooting a deep learning model

(1) Standard neural networks: real estate, online advertising

(2) Convolutional neural networks: applied in image recognition including photo tagging

(3) Recurrent Neural Networks: applied in sequence data including speech recognition, machine translation

(4) custom/hybrid neural networks: complex applications such as autonomous driving

Applications of neural networks in supervised learning

Each datapoint: $(x, y)$   $X \in R^{n_{x} \times m}$   X.shape=$(n_{x}, m)$
$$X = \left[ \begin{array}{cccc}
    \vdots & \vdots & \cdots & \vdots \\
    X^{1} & X^{2} & \cdots & X^{m} \\
    \vdots & \vdots & \cdots & \vdots \\
\end{array} \right]$$
$Y = [y^{(1)}, y^{(2)}, ..., y^{(m)}]$   $Y \in R^{1 \times m}$   Y.shape=$(1, m)$
$m$ training examples: $[(x^{(1)}, y^{(1)}), (x^{(2)}, y^{(2)}), ..., (x^{(m)}, y^{(m)})]$
$m = m_{train}$   $m_{test}$ = # of test examples

Formulating the dataset in a Deep Learning Problem

A neural network configuration is called "shallow" if it has only a few hidden layers. In contrast, it's called "deep" if it has many hidden layers.

Deep vs. Shallow Neural Networks

Core concepts
-Machine learning
-Feature Engineering
-Feature Learning
-Deep Learning
Fundamental Concepts
-Logistic Regressino
-Artificial Neural Network
-Unit
-Artificial Neuron
-Activation Function
-Layer
Convolutional deep learning
-convolution
-pooling/subsampling
-convolutional neural network
-inception



Deep learning core concepts

The Universal Approximation Theorem (UAT) declares that only one hidden layer, with a finite number of neurons, is enough for approximating any looked-for function. This is an impressive statement for two reasons: On the one hand, this theorem proves the immense capacity of neural networks. But, on the other hand… Does it mean that we never need Deep Learning? No, breathe deeply, it doesn’t mean that…

The UAT doesn’t specify how many neurons it must contain. Although a single hidden layer could be enough to model a specific function, it could be more efficient to learn it by multiple hidden layers net. Furthermore, when training a net, we are looking for a function that best generalizes the relationship in data. Even if a single hidden network is able to represent the function that best fits the training examples, this would not mean that it generalizes better the behavior of the data out of the training set.

This is very well explained in the book Deep Learning by Ian Goodfellow, Yoshua Bengio, Aaron Courville:

In summary, a feedforward network with a single layer is sufficient to represent any function, but the layer may be infeasibly large and may fail to learn and generalize correctly. In many circumstances, using deeper models can reduce the number of units required to represent the desired function and can reduce the amount of generalization error.

When do we need Deep Learning?

Machine learning uses a set of algorithms to analyse and interpret data, learn from it, and based on the learnings, make best possible decisions. On the other hand, Deep learning structures the algorithms into multiple layers in order to create an “artificial neural network”. This neural network can learn from the data and make intelligent decisions on its own.


Machine Learning vs Deep Learning

Overfitting occurs when you achieve a good fit of your model on the training data, while it does not generalize well on new, unseen data. In other words, the model learned patterns specific to the training data, which are irrelevant in other data.
We can identify overfitting by looking at validation metrics, like loss or accuracy. Usually, the validation metric stops improving after a certain number of epochs and begins to decrease afterward. The training metric continues to improve because the model seeks to find the best fit for the training data.
There are several manners in which we can reduce overfitting in deep learning models. The best option is to get more training data. Unfortunately, in real-world situations, you often do not have this possibility due to time, budget or technical constraints.
Another way to reduce overfitting is to lower the capacity of the model to memorize the training data. As such, the model will need to focus on the relevant patterns in training data, which results in better generalization. In following children nodes, we’ll discuss three options to achieve this.

How to solve the overfitting problems in deep learning

Top 15 deep learning applications
1.self driving cars
2.healthcare (e.g. cancer detection)
3.Voice search and voice activated assistants
4.Automatically adding sounds to silent movies
5.Automatic machine translation
6.Automatic text generation
7.Automatic handwriting generation
8.Image recognition
9.automatic image caption generation
10.automatic colorization
11.Advertising
12.Predicting earthquakes
13.Neural networks for brain cancer detection
14.Neural networks in finance
15.Energy market price forecasting

Top 15 deep learning applications

Deep learning has a rich history that comes under different names. It develops with accelerated speed due to the increasing size of datasets and capacity of computer infrastructures in the recent decades. The complexity of tasks that deep learning can handle has increased.

Deep Learning History

- Deep Learning
- Deep learning and application in cancer detection
- Deep learning in a nutshell
- Top 15 Deep Learning applications that will rule the world in 2018 and beyond
- Delve into ReLU
- The ABCs of Approximate Bayes Computation
- Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks For Music Classification.

Deep Learning (in Machine Learning) References

The inability for traditional algorithms to generalize complex problems was what inspired machine learning in the first place. Today, a similar situation has arose that complex problems with high dimensional inputs (high number of features) are not generalizable with most simple machine learning algorithms, not to mention require high computational power to solve. This is what drives the development of deep learning, as it will solve some problems better than machine learning can.

Challenges Motivating Deep Learning

FAKE images and videos including facial information generated by digital manipulation, in particular with DeepFake methods, have become a great public concern recently. The very popular term “DeepFake” is referred to a deep-learning based technique able to create fake videos by swapping the face of a person by the face of another person.

DeepFake

This paper is based on the working of a transformer model. A transformer model basically helps in transforming a sequence of input into another depending on the problem statement.
These include translation of a language to another, or an answer for a question, with the help of an encoder and decoder model stacked together.

Attention is all you Need (Presentation)

To effectively teach a complex, computer-related topic, especially to a young audience like a 10-year-old, it is crucial to use simple examples. This approach helps make abstract ideas more concrete and understandable. The explanation should ideally come from an expert with deep knowledge of the subject, such as a computer scientist explaining deep learning.

Explaining Complex Concepts with Simple Examples

A machine learning system is being designed to identify different species of birds in photographs. The model first learns to recognize basic elements like lines, curves, and color gradients. In subsequent stages, it combines these basic elements to identify more complex components like feathers, beaks, and eyes. Finally, it uses the arrangement of these components to classify the bird species. Which statement best analyzes the fundamental principle that gives this approach its power?

A data science team is deciding between two projects. Evaluate which project is a more suitable candidate for a machine learning approach that builds complex concepts out of simpler ones, and justify your decision by explaining how the core principle of this approach applies to the problem's complexity and data structure.

Choosing the Right Machine Learning Approach

A machine learning model is tasked with identifying a cat in an image. Arrange the following stages of representation in the order they would likely be learned by a system that builds complex concepts from simpler ones, starting from the most basic input.

End-to-end training is a core methodology in deep learning where a complete system is built and tuned jointly to map raw inputs to final outputs. This approach contrasts with traditional machine learning pipelines that assemble individually optimized components, such as a separate, manually engineered feature extractor followed by a shallow classifier. By simultaneously training all layers of computation, the model automatically discovers the optimal representations needed for the task.

End-to-End Training

You will face mismatch problem when your training set comes from a different distribution than your dev and test sets, e.g., training set from webpage images and dev/test sets from mobile app uploaded images.

Data Mismatch Problem in Deep Learning

1. the difference between human error and training error: avoidable bias

2. the difference between training error and dev error: variations

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