The paper describes scenarios where it shows how social distancing could affect the number of people infected. These models were not designed to be accurate in the percentages of cases, especially considering when the paper was published.

• In New York, with social distancing, the R0 value decreased by a factor of 2, although the number of cases would still rise by 10% until mid-April.
• If New York were to not have implemented distancing measures, the number of individuals infected by mid-April would be four times the amount that were infected.
• In California, the R0 was brought to a value close to 1, meaning the pandemic was more controlled with distancing measures. However, infections would still have risen until mid-April.