Multiple Choice

A commercial bank is considering offering loans to new tech startups. The bank cannot reliably distinguish between startups with a high probability of success and those with a high probability of failure. The startups, however, have a much clearer understanding of their own potential. If the bank sets a single interest rate for all startup loans that reflects the average risk of the entire applicant pool, what is the most likely long-term outcome for this specific loan market?

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Updated 2025-08-01

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